01
Form, with the context kept in
Recent results are only useful next to who they were against, at home or away, and how the run of fixtures actually fell.
02
Rest and rotation
Days since the last match, midweek European or cup football, and the squad depth to absorb it. Tired legs move a match more than most previews admit.
03
Team news, close to the whistle
Confirmed absences and late fitness calls, checked as near to kick-off as we can get before the note goes out.
04
Where the market already moved
If a line has shifted hard, something is known. We say what moved and whether we think it is justified — sometimes the honest answer is to leave it alone.
